【速報】プーチン、金正恩も参加！中国「抗日戦勝記念日」パレードに世界が注目！
なぜ今？中国が大規模パレードを開催する意図とは
9月3日、中国は「中国人民抗日戦争・世界反ファシズム戦争勝利80周年」を記念する大規模な軍事パレードなどを開催予定。
この背景には、中国が「第二次世界大戦の戦勝国」としての地位を世界に示す狙いがあると見られています。
プーチン、金正恩も！参加するリーダーは誰？
中国外務省の発表によると、ロシアのプーチン大統領、北朝鮮の金正恩総書記を含む26ヶ国の首脳がパレードに出席予定。
鳩山由紀夫元首相も参加予定とのことです。
参加国の多くは中国と緊密な関係を持つ国々ですが、西側諸国の主要国の首脳は参加を見送ると見られています。
金正恩の訪中は、日米韓への牽制？専門家の分析
慶応大学の磯崎敦仁教授は、今回の金正恩総書記の訪中について、以下のように分析しています。
- 昨年、北朝鮮と中国の外交関係樹立75周年で大きなイベントが開催されなかったことを考えると、関係改善の兆し。
- 金正恩総書記にとっては、多国間の舞台に初めて登場する機会。
- 日米韓の連携を意識し、中国、ロシアとの友好関係をアピールし、アメリカに対抗する同盟国としての立場を世界に示す狙いがある。
北朝鮮の思惑：アメリカへの譲歩は必要なし？
磯崎教授によれば、北朝鮮はロシアへの武器輸出によって外貨を獲得しており、アメリカに経済制裁の解除を求める必要性が薄れているとのこと。
核兵器廃棄の提案なしに、アメリカのトランプ大統領から大きな譲歩を引き出すことを待っている状況だと分析しています。
まとめ：パレードから読み解く国際情勢
中国の「抗日戦勝記念日」パレードは、単なる記念行事ではなく、複雑な国際情勢が絡み合った政治的なイベントと言えるでしょう。
今後の動向から目が離せません！
China says 26 foreign leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, are expected to attend the Victory Day military parade in Beijing next Wednesday.
Assistant Foreign Minister Hong Lei made the announcement on Thursday about events to commemorate China’s victory over Japan at the end of World War Two.
Hong said former Japanese Prime Minister Hatoyama Yukio is also scheduled to attend.
China will stage a large-scale parade and other events on September 3 to mark the 80th anniversary of what it calls the “Victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War.”
Hong said China will work with people of other countries to firmly defend the achievements of World War Two and safeguard the international order.
China apparently wants to use the parade to project itself as a victor nation in the war.
Many of the attending leaders are from countries with close ties to China. Most Western nations have not sent leaders to the Victory Day parades.
North Korea’s state-run Korean Central News Agency on Thursday confirmed that leader Kim Jong Un will attend the commemorative events. It said Kim will visit China soon at the invitation of President Xi Jinping.
This would be Kim’s first visit to China since January 2019. It is rare for the North Korean leader to attend an event where other foreign leaders will gather.
Keio University Professor Isozaki Atsuhito noted that no major events were held last year when North Korea and China marked the 75th anniversary of diplomatic ties.
But he said that a sign of improving relations was seen last week when a close aide to Kim attended an event at the Chinese embassy in Pyongyang.
Isozaki said that Kim apparently wants to rapidly restore the bilateral ties by visiting China. He said that it will effectively mark the first time for Kim to appear in a multilateral setting.
The professor also noted that with cooperative ties among Japan, the US and South Korea in mind, North Korea wants to show the world that it has friendly diplomatic relations with both China and Russia, and the three nations are allied to counter the United States.
Isozaki added that North Korea has no urgent need to ask the US to lift its economic sanctions as it has acquired foreign currency through exports of North Korean weapons to Russia.
He said that Pyongyang is waiting for a big concession from US President Donald Trump without making a proposal to scrap its nuclear weapons.
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